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CD Boiro vs Barco

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Sidibe M.

AI Match Summary

Barco in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Boiro
15%
Draws
20%
Barco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Boiro at 1.48 per game, Barco at 1.1.
  • Win probability leans CD Boiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%
Barco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Barco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Barco
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Boiro
0:1
May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Barco
1:3
Dec 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Boiro
3:0
Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barco vs CD Boiro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Barco Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 95 / 100
Barco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Barco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Boiro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Boiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Barco's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Barco
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

Barco

(Away)
12 Sept
Barco
1 : 2
Silva SD
06 Sept
Arenteiro
0 : 1
Barco
19 Aug
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Barco
10 May
Estradense
3 : 1
Barco
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)