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CD Boiro vs Somozas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Naval A.
32'
Pazos A.
40' Event
Cambon J.

AI Match Summary

Somozas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
CD Boiro
35%
Draws
24%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Boiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • CD Boiro have won more games recently than Somozas.
  • Model gives CD Boiro a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Boiro Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Boiro Somozas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
2:2
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:3
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs CD Boiro
0:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
0:0
Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Boiro vs Somozas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Boiro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Naval A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cambon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Boiro 68 / 100
Somozas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Boiro Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Boiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Boiro found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Somozas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Boiro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Boiro VS Somozas
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Boiro

(Home)
12 Sept
Celtiga
0 : 2
CD Boiro
06 Sept
CD Boiro
3 : 2
Montaneros
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
CD Boiro
3 : 1
Montaneros
26 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)