Sport Picks
CD Buzanada vs UD San Fernando - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
32'
32'
Quintero J.
55'
55'
Quintero J.
71'
71'
Estupinan Bonilla J.
AI Match Summary
UD San Fernando in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD San Fernando.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD San Fernando lately — more wins on the board than CD Buzanada.
- Win probability leans UD San Fernando's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
CD Buzanada Clean Sheet 19%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Buzanada | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs UD San Fernando
0:3
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs CD Buzanada
2:1
Jun 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD San Fernando vs CD Buzanada
1:1
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Buzanada vs UD San Fernando
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs CD Buzanada
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Buzanada Compare
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
UD San Fernando Compare
Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Estupinan Bonilla J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Buzanada 10 / 100
UD San Fernando 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Buzanada UD San Fernando
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: CD Buzanada scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
UD San Fernando has conceded goals in 45% of their last 31 outings.
CD Buzanada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS UD San Fernando
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Buzanada
(Home) 10 May
Arucas
5 : 1 CD Buzanada
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
12 Apr
San Miguel
1 : 3 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
04 May
CD Buzanada
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
17 Apr
CD Buzanada
1 : 1 Estrella
04 Apr
CD Buzanada
2 : 1 Ibarra
23 Mar
CD Buzanada
1 : 2 Panaderia
09 Mar
CD Buzanada
0 : 2 Las Palmas B
Page 1 of 3
UD San Fernando
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
