Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Garrido S.
57'
57'
Taha M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CD Calahorra and Arnedo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CD Calahorra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of CD Calahorra on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Calahorra taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 16%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Calahorra | Arnedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 3.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Calahorra Compare
Top Goalscorer Taha M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56
Arnedo Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrido S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Calahorra 39 / 100
Arnedo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Calahorra Arnedo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calahorra's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Arnedo has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
CD Calahorra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Calahorra VS Arnedo
3.13 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Calahorra
(Home) 24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 CD Calahorra
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2 Arnedo
09 May
Yague
4 : 4 CD Calahorra
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0 Comillas CF
26 Apr
Vianes
0 : 4 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2 Arnedo
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0 Comillas CF
19 Apr
CD Calahorra
1 : 1 Arnedo
05 Apr
CD Calahorra
3 : 1 CDFC La Calzada
22 Mar
CD Calahorra
2 : 0 Pena Balsamaiso
Page 1 of 3
Arnedo
(Away) 20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0 CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
07 Jun
Arnedo
3 : 2 Oyonesa
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Arnedo
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Arnedo
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2 Arnedo
03 May
Agoncillo
1 : 2 Arnedo
19 Apr
CD Calahorra
1 : 1 Arnedo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
