Sport Picks
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Garrido S.
57'
57'
Taha M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CD Calahorra and Arnedo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calahorra
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arnedo come out ahead of CD Calahorra on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Calahorra taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 18%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Calahorra | Arnedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.45 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
0:2
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs CD Calahorra
0:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Arnedo
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Calahorra Compare
Top Goalscorer Taha M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Arnedo Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrido S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Calahorra 85 / 100
Arnedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Calahorra Arnedo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Calahorra's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Difficult form: Arnedo registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Arnedo has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
CD Calahorra VS Arnedo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Calahorra
(Home) 04 Oct
Alfaro
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0 Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5 CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0 Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1 CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0 Calasancio
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0 Oyonesa
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2 Arnedo
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0 Comillas CF
19 Apr
CD Calahorra
1 : 1 Arnedo
Page 1 of 3
Arnedo
(Away) 04 Oct
Arnedo
1 : 2 Ebro
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0 Arnedo
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1 Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1 Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4 CE Manresa
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0 Arnedo
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1 Arnedo
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0 Arnedo
31 May
Oyonesa
0 : 0 Arnedo
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2 Arnedo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 34 | 26 | 8 | 0 | 99:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Varea | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 72:26 | 72 |
| 4 | CD Calahorra | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 86:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Oyonesa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 54:41 | 61 |
| 6 | Anguiano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 60 |
| 7 | Haro Deportivo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54:46 | 51 |
| 8 | Agoncillo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 59:49 | 47 |
| 9 | Vianes | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39:51 | 42 |
| 10 | Yague | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 48:52 | 40 |
| 11 | San Marcial | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:59 | 39 |
| 12 | Berceo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 39 |
| 13 | CDFC La Calzada | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 40:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Comillas CF | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 32:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Pradejon | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 30:49 | 35 |
| 16 | Villegas | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 36:66 | 28 |
| 17 | Autol | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 20:80 | 18 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 34 | 0 | 11 | 23 | 27:86 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
