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Stadium Background

CD Calahorra vs Berceo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lopez V.
57' Event
Ortega A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

CD Calahorra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Calahorra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Calahorra
15%
Draws
42%
Berceo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Calahorra have won more games recently than Berceo.
  • CD Calahorra are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 14%
Berceo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra Berceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Berceo
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CD Calahorra
1:0
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Berceo
4:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CD Calahorra
0:1
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs CD Calahorra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Berceo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra 41 / 100
Berceo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra Berceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Berceo let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CD Calahorra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calahorra VS Berceo
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
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Berceo

(Away)
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)