Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Calahorra vs Pena Balsamaiso

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sanchez A.
17' Event
Taha M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between CD Calahorra and Pena Balsamaiso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Calahorra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Calahorra
15%
Draws
0%
Pena Balsamaiso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Calahorra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Calahorra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Calahorra here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 68%
Pena Balsamaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra Pena Balsamaiso
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 0
Draws 10 10
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2.42 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Pena Balsamaiso
2:0
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Calahorra
0:7
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs Pena Balsamaiso
3:1
Nov 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Calahorra
0:3
Apr 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Pena Balsamaiso vs CD Calahorra
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Calahorra Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Pena Balsamaiso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra 95 / 100
Pena Balsamaiso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra Pena Balsamaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Pena Balsamaiso let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Pena Balsamaiso lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Calahorra VS Pena Balsamaiso
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra

(Home)
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
17 May
CD Calahorra
0 : 2
Arnedo
09 May
Yague
4 : 4
CD Calahorra
03 May
CD Calahorra
6 : 0
Comillas CF
26 Apr
Vianes
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
Page 1 of 7

Pena Balsamaiso

(Away)
10 May
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 5
UD Logrones B
30 Apr
Oyonesa
4 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
26 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
0 : 2
Pradejon
19 Apr
Anguiano
4 : 2
Pena Balsamaiso
12 Apr
Pena Balsamaiso
2 : 5
Haro Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)