Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Calahorra vs San Marcial

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Calahorra in this Tercera Division - Group 16 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Calahorra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CD Calahorra
20%
Draws
29%
San Marcial
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marcial haven't matched CD Calahorra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Calahorra's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Calahorra have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Calahorra Clean Sheet 20%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Calahorra San Marcial
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CD Calahorra
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs San Marcial
6:1
Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Calahorra vs San Marcial
3:0
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CD Calahorra
1:7
Feb 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs CD Calahorra
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Calahorra 85 / 100
San Marcial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Calahorra San Marcial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Calahorra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Calahorra's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: San Marcial conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: CD Calahorra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Calahorra VS San Marcial
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Calahorra

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Calahorra
5 : 0
Calasancio
18 Sept
Agoncillo
3 : 5
CD Calahorra
13 Sept
CD Calahorra
2 : 0
Oyonesa
06 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
2 : 1
CD Calahorra
24 May
Arnedo
1 : 0
CD Calahorra
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San Marcial

(Away)
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Calahorra 38 30 5 3 116:20 95
2 Naxara 38 28 7 3 117:30 91
3 SD Logrones 38 29 4 5 110:25 91
4 Anguiano 38 29 4 5 115:40 91
5 Haro Deportivo 38 28 7 3 115:33 91
6 Varea 37 27 4 6 91:28 85
7 Alfaro 38 24 3 11 78:56 75
8 UD Logrones B 38 20 5 13 64:45 65
9 Agoncillo 38 13 6 19 50:60 45
10 Oyonesa 38 11 6 21 45:74 39
11 Vianes 37 12 2 23 45:112 38
12 CD Tedeon 38 9 10 19 43:68 37
13 Arnedo 38 8 11 19 39:67 35
14 River Ebro 37 9 8 20 48:80 35
15 Casalarreina CF 38 9 6 23 42:78 33
16 Villegas 38 9 6 23 37:85 33
17 Calasancio 38 8 7 23 24:77 31
18 CDFC La Calzada 38 8 5 25 35:84 29
19 San Marcial 37 5 7 25 44:106 22
20 CF Rapid 38 2 7 29 24:114 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)