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CD Cantolagua vs Pamplona

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
CD Cantolagua Logo

CD Cantolagua

3 - 3
FT
Pamplona Logo

Pamplona

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ripa J.
57' Event
Arcelus C.
66' Event
Uriz J.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between CD Cantolagua and Pamplona finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Cantolagua
35%
Draws
29%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pamplona come out ahead of CD Cantolagua on wins alone.
  • Pamplona are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 13%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cantolagua Pamplona
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 3 22
Draws 7 12
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.45 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pamplona
3:3
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs CD Cantolagua
1:0
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs CD Cantolagua
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pamplona
3:1
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Pamplona
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cantolagua Compare

Top Goalscorer Arcelus C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochandorena B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amadoz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cantolagua 27 / 100
Pamplona 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cantolagua Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Pamplona let in goals in 68% of their last 40 matches.

Recent resilience: CD Cantolagua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Cantolagua found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Cantolagua VS Pamplona
0.4 Goals Scored 1.75
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.5
40% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cantolagua

(Home)
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1
CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6

Pamplona

(Away)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Doneztebe FT
12 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Pamplona
05 Sept
Pamplona
1 : 1
Aoiz
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)