Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Carinena vs Utrillas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Fonsi Nadeles
85' Event
Caicedo R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between CD Carinena and Utrillas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Carinena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CD Carinena
35%
Draws
36%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utrillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Utrillas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on CD Carinena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
CD Carinena Clean Sheet 68%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Carinena Utrillas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 16 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Utrillas
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs CD Carinena
1:1
May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs CD Carinena
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Utrillas
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Carinena vs Utrillas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Carinena Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonsi Nadeles
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Utrillas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Carinena 50 / 100
Utrillas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Carinena Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Carinena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Carinena found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Utrillas let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

CD Carinena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Carinena VS Utrillas
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Carinena

(Home)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Huesca B
1 : 1
CD Carinena
26 Apr
CD Carinena
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
19 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 1
CD Carinena
12 Apr
CD Carinena
2 : 2
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 6

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)