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CD Castro vs Barbadas-Bentraces

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD Castro and Barbadas-Bentraces finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CD Castro
15%
Draws
64%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barbadas-Bentraces

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • CD Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Castro a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.27 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Barbadas-Bentraces
1:1
Dec 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs CD Castro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 49 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Castro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Barbadas-Bentraces has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Barbadas-Bentraces's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barbadas-Bentraces
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
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