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CD Castro vs Bergantinos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CD Castro
20%
Draws
70%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bergantinos lately — more wins on the board than CD Castro.
  • Win probability leans Bergantinos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 20%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Castro Bergantinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs Bergantinos
1:1
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs CD Castro
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Castro 10 / 100
Bergantinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Castro Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Bergantinos let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: CD Castro remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergantinos
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Castro

(Home)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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Bergantinos

(Away)
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3
Lugo
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