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CD Cebrerena vs Burgos CF B

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between CD Cebrerena and Burgos CF B finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Cebrerena
20%
Draws
40%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Burgos CF B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Burgos CF B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cebrerena Burgos CF B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Burgos CF B
2:3
Feb 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs CD Cebrerena
3:0
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Burgos CF B
0:0
Dec 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Burgos CF B vs CD Cebrerena
0:0
Mar 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Burgos CF B
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cebrerena 28 / 100
Burgos CF B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cebrerena Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burgos CF B let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Cebrerena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Cebrerena scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burgos CF B
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cebrerena

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
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Burgos CF B

(Away)
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)