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CD Cebrerena vs Real Burgos CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Cebrerena
15%
Draws
20%
Real Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Cebrerena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Cebrerena lately — more wins on the board than Real Burgos CF.
  • CD Cebrerena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Cebrerena Clean Sheet 20%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cebrerena Real Burgos CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.97 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Real Burgos CF
0:0
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs CD Cebrerena
3:0
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs CD Cebrerena
0:0
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Cebrerena vs Real Burgos CF
0:0
Apr 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs CD Cebrerena
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cebrerena 85 / 100
Real Burgos CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cebrerena Real Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Cebrerena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Burgos CF conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Cebrerena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Real Burgos CF's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CD Cebrerena's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cebrerena VS Real Burgos CF
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cebrerena

(Home)
20 Jun
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 1
CD Cebrerena
13 Jun
CD Cebrerena
2 : 0
Penaranda de Bracamonte
06 Jun
Becerril
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
23 May
La Baneza
0 : 1
CD Cebrerena
16 May
CD Cebrerena
0 : 1
Salamanca CF UDS B
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Real Burgos CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Becerril
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
22 May
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 1
Real Burgos CF
16 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)