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CD Choco vs CD Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choco in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
15%
Draws
85%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Castro lately — more wins on the board than CD Choco.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 19%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco CD Castro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.91 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs CD Castro
1:0
Nov 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs CD Choco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 31 / 100
CD Castro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Choco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Castro conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: CD Castro registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Choco's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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