Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Choco vs Pontellas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Choco in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
20%
Draws
80%
Pontellas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontellas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Choco have won more games recently than Pontellas.
  • Win probability leans Pontellas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 19%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Pontellas
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 0.94 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Pontellas
1:0
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs CD Choco
1:0
Mar 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Pontellas
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs CD Choco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 24 / 100
Pontellas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Pontellas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontellas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontellas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Choco scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Pontellas's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Choco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

Pontellas

(Away)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 22 14 6 2 37:16 48
2 Lugo B 22 12 6 4 34:17 42
3 Somozas 22 12 5 5 41:21 41
4 Racing Club Villalbes 22 12 4 6 34:26 40
5 Deportivo Fabril 22 9 5 8 41:27 32
6 Silva SD 22 7 9 6 21:20 30
7 Arzua 22 7 8 7 32:23 29
8 Viveiro 22 8 4 10 25:39 28
9 Agrupacion Estudiantil 22 4 8 10 27:45 20
10 CD AS Pontes 22 4 7 11 18:40 19
11 Fisterra 22 4 5 13 22:35 17
12 Paiosaco 22 1 9 12 16:39 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arenteiro 22 13 8 1 33:13 47
2 Arosa SC 22 11 8 3 27:14 41
3 Alondras 22 9 10 3 31:15 37
4 Estradense 22 8 7 7 35:34 31
5 CD Choco 22 8 7 7 28:22 31
6 Rapido de Bouzas 22 8 7 7 25:25 31
7 Barco 22 8 6 8 26:27 30
8 Ourense CF 22 8 4 10 33:29 28
9 Ribadumia 22 7 5 10 24:36 26
10 UD Ourense 22 7 4 11 25:32 25
11 Atios 22 4 8 10 18:32 20
12 Pontellas 22 1 6 15 12:38 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)