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CD Choco vs Porrino Industrial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between CD Choco and Porrino Industrial finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Choco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
15%
Draws
85%
Porrino Industrial
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porrino Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Porrino Industrial have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — CD Choco are scoring more at 1.09.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 19%
Porrino Industrial Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco Porrino Industrial
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 1
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.09 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs Porrino Industrial
4:0
Dec 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Porrino Industrial vs CD Choco
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 32 / 100
Porrino Industrial 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco Porrino Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porrino Industrial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porrino Industrial let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

CD Choco scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Difficult form: Porrino Industrial registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choco VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 7

Porrino Industrial

(Away)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
Porrino Industrial
0 : 2
Arenteiro
05 May
CD Choco
4 : 0
Porrino Industrial
01 May
Porrino Industrial
3 : 0
CD Boiro
28 Apr
Barco
2 : 1
Porrino Industrial
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)