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CD Choco vs SD Negreira

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between CD Choco and SD Negreira finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Choco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Choco
15%
Draws
85%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Negreira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SD Negreira's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Choco Clean Sheet 14%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Choco SD Negreira
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs SD Negreira
1:1
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD Choco
2:2
Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs SD Negreira
2:0
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD Choco
2:2
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Choco vs SD Negreira
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choco 27 / 100
SD Negreira 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Choco SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choco found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: SD Negreira conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: SD Negreira has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Choco VS SD Negreira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Choco

(Home)
22 Apr
CD Choco
1 : 3
Rapido de Bouzas
16 Apr
Arzua
3 : 1
CD Choco
06 Apr
CD Choco
0 : 1
Estradense
01 Apr
Arosa SC
1 : 0
CD Choco
26 Mar
CD Choco
0 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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