Sport Picks

Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Ruben Deras

Marathon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Choloma host Marathon in the Liga Nacional. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Marathon have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while CD Choloma have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, CD Choloma have won 2 to Marathon's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Marathon. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

CD Choloma

40%

Draws

29%

Marathon

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Marathon have won more games recently than CD Choloma.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

CD Choloma Clean Sheet 17%

Marathon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Choloma	Marathon
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	7	16
Draws	6	10
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	1.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional

Marathon vs CD Choloma

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Mar 11, 2026 Liga Nacional

CD Choloma vs Marathon

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Nov 27, 2025 Liga Nacional

CD Choloma vs Marathon

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:4

Sep 14, 2025 Liga Nacional

Marathon vs CD Choloma

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly

Marathon vs CD Choloma

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Choloma 31 / 100

Marathon 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Choloma Marathon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Choloma's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Choloma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Marathon conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Choloma VS Marathon

1.75 Goals Scored 0.63

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	Motagua	0:0
2	Olimpia	0:0
3	Marathon	0:0
4	Real Espana	0:0
5	Platense	0:0
6	Juticalpa	0:0
7	Atletico Independiente	0:0
8	Lobos UPNFM	0:0
9	Estrella	0:0
10	Genesis FC	0:0
11	Olancho	0:0
12	CD Choloma	0:0