Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Colindres

1 - 0

Castro

Our Tip

Match Events

44'

Subisaga A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Colindres and Castro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colindres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

CD Colindres

22%

Draws

18%

Castro

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CD Colindres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
60% — that's where the model lands on CD Colindres taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%

Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Colindres	Castro
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	6	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Colindres vs Castro

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Colindres

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Colindres vs Castro

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Colindres

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 0 - 3

4:0

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Colindres

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Subisaga A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colindres 68 / 100

Castro 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Colindres Castro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castro has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Colindres found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Colindres VS Castro

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19