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CD Colindres vs CD Barquereno

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Guijarro A.
Own Goal
65' Event
Subisaga A.
71' Event
Subisaga A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between CD Colindres and CD Barquereno finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colindres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Colindres
30%
Draws
23%
CD Barquereno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Colindres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Barquereno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CD Colindres taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%
CD Barquereno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Colindres CD Barquereno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Barquereno
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs CD Colindres
2:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Barquereno vs CD Colindres
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs CD Barquereno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Subisaga A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

CD Barquereno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Colindres 68 / 100
CD Barquereno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Colindres CD Barquereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Barquereno has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Barquereno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Colindres's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Colindres VS CD Barquereno
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Colindres

(Home)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

CD Barquereno

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
UD Samano
2 : 2
CD Barquereno
09 May
CD Barquereno
1 : 5
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)