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CD Corellano vs CD Gares

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
CD Corellano Logo

CD Corellano

3 - 1
FT
CD Gares Logo

CD Gares

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between CD Corellano and CD Gares finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Corellano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
CD Corellano
20%
Draws
20%
CD Gares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • CD Gares have managed 0.78 goals a game lately — CD Corellano are scoring more at 0.9.
  • CD Corellano are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 68%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Corellano CD Gares
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.9 0.78
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs CD Gares
3:1
Sep 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs CD Corellano
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs CD Gares
0:0
Oct 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs CD Corellano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Corellano 59 / 100
CD Gares 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Corellano CD Gares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Corellano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Gares conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

CD Gares lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Corellano scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Gares
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Corellano

(Home)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

CD Gares

(Away)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)