Sport Picks
CD Coria vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
de Souza R.
19'
19'
Dominguez A.
50'
50'
Bautista M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between CD Coria and Navalcarnero finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Coria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Navalcarnero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CD Coria come out ahead of Navalcarnero on wins alone.
- Model gives Navalcarnero a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 13%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Coria | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Navalcarnero
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CD Coria
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Navalcarnero vs CD Coria
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Navalcarnero
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Navalcarnero
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Coria Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Navalcarnero Compare
Top Goalscorer de Souza R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Coria 22 / 100
Navalcarnero 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Coria Navalcarnero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Coria scored in 87% of their last 31 games.
Navalcarnero has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CD Coria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Coria VS Navalcarnero
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Coria
(Home) 04 Oct
Zamora
2 : 0 CD Coria
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2 CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
01 Aug
CD Coria
1 : 0 Real Avila
25 Jul
CD Coria
3 : 1 Cordoba B
Page 1 of 3
Navalcarnero
(Away) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1 Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4 Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
09 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
1 : 0 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
