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Stadium Background

CD Coria vs Real Aviles

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio La Isla, Coria
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Moreno A. In: Llorente E.
Out: Moreno A.
57'
Sub
Menendez O. In: Rodriguez Y.
Out: Menendez O.
58'
Sub
Nunez B. In: Lopez-Vadillo A.
Out: Nunez B.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between CD Coria and Real Aviles finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CD Coria
30%
Draws
41%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Aviles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Coria come out ahead of Real Aviles on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 20%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Coria Real Aviles
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.69 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria vs Real Aviles
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez-Vadillo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Real Aviles Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Coria 36 / 100
Real Aviles 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Coria Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Coria's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Real Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Coria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Coria VS Real Aviles
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Coria

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6

Real Aviles

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Cacereno 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Lugo 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
6 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Leonesa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
11 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
12 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Zamora 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
17 CD Extremadura 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)