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CD Cuenca Juniors vs EL Nacional

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Valencia K.
31' Event
Valencia K.
38' Event
Uchuari J.

AI Match Summary

CD Cuenca Juniors in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Cuenca Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
CD Cuenca Juniors
30%
Draws
19%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Cuenca Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Cuenca Juniors lately — more wins on the board than EL Nacional.
  • Model gives CD Cuenca Juniors a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 20%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cuenca Juniors EL Nacional
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Serie B
CD Cuenca Juniors vs EL Nacional
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs CD Cuenca Juniors
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cuenca Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uchuari J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

EL Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayorga J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cuenca Juniors 40 / 100
EL Nacional 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cuenca Juniors EL Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EL Nacional has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Cuenca Juniors has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

EL Nacional lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Cuenca Juniors VS EL Nacional
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cuenca Juniors

(Home)
30 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
24 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
17 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
09 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
03 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
1 : 0
San Antonio
Page 1 of 6

EL Nacional

(Away)
31 Jul
22 de Julio
1 : 3
EL Nacional
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nueve de Octubre 19 9 8 2 20:11 35
2 Independiente Juniors 19 9 7 3 23:13 34
3 Atletico FC 19 8 10 1 22:13 34
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 19 8 7 4 19:18 31
5 Vinotinto 19 7 5 7 23:17 26
6 Cumbaya 19 5 9 5 19:16 24
7 San Antonio 19 5 9 5 21:20 24
8 LDU Portoviejo 19 6 4 9 15:22 22
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 19 5 8 6 13:13 20
10 Gualaceo 19 6 7 6 15:14 19
11 22 de Julio 19 4 3 12 10:26 9
12 EL Nacional 19 1 5 13 13:30 5
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)