Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Cuenca Juniors vs Macara

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Posse F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CD Cuenca Juniors
35%
Draws
40%
Macara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Macara haven't matched CD Cuenca Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • CD Cuenca Juniors have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Macara, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 64.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Cuenca Juniors Clean Sheet 17%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cuenca Juniors Macara
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Copa Ecuador
CD Cuenca Juniors vs Macara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Cuenca Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cuenca Juniors 36 / 100
Macara 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cuenca Juniors Macara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Macara conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: CD Cuenca Juniors remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CD Cuenca Juniors scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CD Cuenca Juniors VS Macara
0.43 Goals Scored 2.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
29% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cuenca Juniors

(Home)
20 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 3
Gualaceo
14 Aug
22 de Julio
0 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
08 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
30 Jul
Cumbaya
0 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
24 Jul
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Macara

(Away)
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0
Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1
U. Catolica
13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1
Macara
09 Aug
Barcelona SC
1 : 2
Macara
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1
Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Africando 1
Independiente Juniors 2
Leones del Norte -
TBD -
Huaquillas FC 1
Rio Aguarico 0
Aucas -
TBD -
Guaranda 0
San Antonio 1
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
La Union 1
Cumbaya 0
Emelec -
TBD -
U.D. Juvenil 0
Daquilema 2
Guayaquil City -
TBD -
Astillero 2
22 de Julio 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Dunamis 1
EL Nacional 5
Orense -
TBD -
Domingo TSA 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Primero de Mayo 0
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Manta -
TBD -
Nazareno 0
Nueve de Octubre 4
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Dep. Quito 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara -
TBD -
Quito 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
Insutec 4
Club Deportivo Ibarra 3
Libertad -
TBD -
Ind. Azogues 0
LDU Portoviejo 5
Delfin -
TBD -
Banos 2
Anaconda 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Juventud Italiana 2
Atletico FC 1
1/16-finals
LDU Quito 2
Independiente Juniors 1
Leones del Norte 1
Huaquillas FC 0
Aucas 3
San Antonio 0
Dep. Cuenca 0
La Union 1
Emelec 0
Daquilema 1
Guayaquil City 1
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 4
EL Nacional 1
Orense 1
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 0
Manta 1
Nueve de Octubre 0
Mushuc Runa 0
Gualaceo 1
Macara 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 0
Barcelona SC 4
Insutec 2
Libertad 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Delfin 2
Banos 0
Tecnico U. 0
Juventud Italiana 2
1/8-finals
LDU Quito 6
Leones del Norte 0
Aucas 2
La Union 1
Daquilema 0
Astillero 2
U. Catolica 3
Vinotinto 2
Independiente del Valle 1
Manta 0
Gualaceo 2
Macara 1
Barcelona SC 1
LDU Portoviejo 0
Delfin 1
Juventud Italiana 0
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito -
Aucas -
Astillero -
U. Catolica -
Independiente del Valle -
Gualaceo -
Barcelona SC -
Delfin -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -