Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015

CD AS Pontes

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Cultural Areas play CD AS Pontes in the Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Cultural Areas averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. CD AS Pontes averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, CD Cultural Areas won 1, CD AS Pontes won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2015 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for CD Cultural Areas and 0.86 for CD AS Pontes. This points to a CD AS Pontes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

CD Cultural Areas

16%

Draws

45%

CD AS Pontes

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: CD AS Pontes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

CD Cultural Areas picked up more points recently compared to CD AS Pontes.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

CD Cultural Areas Clean Sheet 25%

CD AS Pontes Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Cultural Areas	CD AS Pontes
Matches Played	33	35
Wins	9	8
Draws	5	11
Losses	19	16
Goals Scored	1.27	1.06
Goals Conceded	2.09	1.54

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

CD Cultural Areas vs CD AS Pontes

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

CD AS Pontes vs CD Cultural Areas

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

CD Cultural Areas vs CD AS Pontes

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Dec 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

CD AS Pontes vs CD Cultural Areas

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1

CD AS Pontes vs CD Cultural Areas

Possession: 53% - 52% Cards: 1 - 3

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cultural Areas 40 / 100

CD AS Pontes 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Cultural Areas CD AS Pontes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD AS Pontes or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Cultural Areas attacking → ← attacking CD AS Pontes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Cultural Areas scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

CD AS Pontes let in goals in 77% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

CD Cultural Areas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CD AS Pontes lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pontevedra	38	24	7	7	65:25	79
2	Deportivo Fabril	38	21	8	9	66:32	71
3	Cerceda	38	18	10	10	64:37	64
4	CD Choco	38	18	8	12	58:39	62
5	Bergantinos	38	16	11	11	46:31	59
6	Ribadeo FC	38	17	7	14	54:64	58
7	Ribadumia	38	16	10	12	56:44	58
8	Alondras	38	15	11	12	43:41	56
9	Racing Club Villalbes	38	14	14	10	49:38	56
10	Rapido de Bouzas	38	14	14	10	48:35	56
11	Arosa SC	38	14	12	12	51:42	54
12	Barbadas-Bentraces	38	15	8	15	39:40	53
13	SD Ordenes	38	15	8	15	47:48	53
14	CD AS Pontes	38	13	13	12	48:50	52
15	CD Boiro	38	13	12	13	51:48	51
16	Silva SD	38	13	9	16	44:58	48
17	Xuventu Sanxenxo	38	12	5	21	48:65	41
18	CD Cultural Areas	38	9	7	22	41:65	34
19	Laracha	38	8	9	21	28:61	33
20	Bertamirans FC	38	1	5	32	26:109	8