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CD Cultural Areas vs Cerceda

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015 game between CD Cultural Areas and Cerceda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
CD Cultural Areas
20%
Draws
32%
Cerceda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Cultural Areas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Cultural Areas come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Cultural Areas's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerceda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Cultural Areas Clean Sheet 10%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Cultural Areas Cerceda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 1.23 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Cultural Areas vs Cerceda
0:2
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD Cultural Areas
3:2
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Cultural Areas vs Cerceda
0:5
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD Cultural Areas
5:0
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs CD Cultural Areas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Cultural Areas 34 / 100
Cerceda 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Cultural Areas Cerceda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerceda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Cultural Areas scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Cerceda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Cultural Areas VS Cerceda
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Cultural Areas

(Home)
13 May
CD Cultural Areas
0 : 2
Arenteiro
06 May
Villalonga
3 : 2
CD Cultural Areas
01 May
CD Cultural Areas
2 : 1
SD Negreira
28 Apr
Ourense CF
3 : 2
CD Cultural Areas
22 Apr
CD Cultural Areas
1 : 3
Noia
Page 1 of 6

Cerceda

(Away)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pontevedra 38 24 7 7 65:25 79
2 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 66:32 71
3 Cerceda 38 18 10 10 64:37 64
4 CD Choco 38 18 8 12 58:39 62
5 Bergantinos 38 16 11 11 46:31 59
6 Ribadeo FC 38 17 7 14 54:64 58
7 Ribadumia 38 16 10 12 56:44 58
8 Alondras 38 15 11 12 43:41 56
9 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 14 10 49:38 56
10 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 14 10 48:35 56
11 Arosa SC 38 14 12 12 51:42 54
12 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 15 8 15 39:40 53
13 SD Ordenes 38 15 8 15 47:48 53
14 CD AS Pontes 38 13 13 12 48:50 52
15 CD Boiro 38 13 12 13 51:48 51
16 Silva SD 38 13 9 16 44:58 48
17 Xuventu Sanxenxo 38 12 5 21 48:65 41
18 CD Cultural Areas 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 Laracha 38 8 9 21 28:61 33
20 Bertamirans FC 38 1 5 32 26:109 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)