Sport Picks
CD Diocesano vs Santa Amalia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Diocesano haven't matched Santa Amalia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Santa Amalia a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Amalia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Diocesano | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Santa Amalia
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CD Diocesano
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Santa Amalia vs CD Diocesano
0:3
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Santa Amalia
2:0
Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Santa Amalia
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Diocesano 10 / 100
Santa Amalia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Diocesano Santa Amalia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Amalia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Santa Amalia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
CD Diocesano scored in 63% of their last 32 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: CD Diocesano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Diocesano VS Santa Amalia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Diocesano
(Home) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
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10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
29 Mar
CD Diocesano
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
15 Mar
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Montehermoso
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Santa Amalia
(Away) 27 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Moralo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1 Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
Santa Amalia
3 : 0 Quintana
06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
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06 Sept
UP Plasencia
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
10 May
Montijo
2 : 1 Santa Amalia
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
Don Benito
1 : 0 Santa Amalia
04 Apr
Jerez CF
2 : 2 Santa Amalia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
