Sport Picks
CD Estepona vs CD Extremadura
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Marin A.
81'
81'
Diaz D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Estepona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Extremadura lately — more wins on the board than CD Estepona.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on CD Estepona taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Estepona | CD Extremadura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.27 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs CD Extremadura
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Extremadura vs CD Estepona
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Estepona Compare
Top Goalscorer Marin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
CD Extremadura Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Estepona 59 / 100
CD Extremadura 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Estepona CD Extremadura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Estepona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
CD Estepona scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
CD Extremadura let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
CD Estepona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CD Estepona VS CD Extremadura
1.29 Goals Scored 2.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Estepona
(Home) 27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1 CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2 CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4 Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4 Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
Page 1 of 3
CD Extremadura
(Away) 26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1 Zamora
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1 Leonesa
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1 CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
31 Aug
UD Logrones
2 : 1 CD Extremadura
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5 CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
