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CD Estepona vs Don Benito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Herrero A.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Attipoe E.
75' Event
Contreras A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 game between CD Estepona and Don Benito finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Estepona
20%
Draws
47%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Don Benito come out ahead of CD Estepona on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Estepona Don Benito
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Don Benito
3:1
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Don Benito
1:1
Dec 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Don Benito vs CD Estepona
1:2
Feb 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Estepona vs Don Benito
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Don Benito vs CD Estepona
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Don Benito Compare

Top Goalscorer Attipoe E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Estepona 34 / 100
Don Benito 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Estepona Don Benito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Estepona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Don Benito has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Estepona VS Don Benito
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Estepona

(Home)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
Page 1 of 6

Don Benito

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 5 4 1 0 8:0 13
2 Recreativo Huelva 5 4 0 1 10:4 12
3 Don Benito 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Tenerife B 5 3 0 2 9:7 9
5 Ciudad de Lucena 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
6 Sevilla B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
7 CD Badajoz 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 CD Estepona 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Linares 5 2 1 2 6:7 7
10 Mijas Las Lagunas 5 1 3 1 10:10 6
11 Sanluqueno 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
12 Atletico Central 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
13 Xerez CD 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
14 Marbella 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
15 Puente Genil 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
16 Las Palmas B 5 1 1 3 1:8 4
17 Tamaraceite 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Antoniano 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)