Sport Picks
CD Extremadura vs La Union (Malacitano)
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
22'
22'
El Kounni K.
49'
49'
Raigal J.
55'
55'
Zarfino G.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between CD Extremadura and La Union (Malacitano) finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Extremadura.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Extremadura
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CD Extremadura come out ahead of La Union (Malacitano) on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on CD Extremadura taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 68%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Extremadura | La Union (Malacitano) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Extremadura vs La Union (Malacitano)
4:2
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Extremadura
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Extremadura Compare
Top Goalscorer Zarfino G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Top Goalscorer El Kounni K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Raigal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Extremadura 77 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Extremadura La Union (Malacitano)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Extremadura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Extremadura's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: La Union (Malacitano) conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Solid form: CD Extremadura remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Extremadura VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Extremadura
(Home) 19 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 1 Betis B
15 Aug
CD Extremadura
2 : 1 Recreativo Huelva
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
08 Aug
Don Benito
2 : 2 CD Extremadura
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5 CD Extremadura
Page 1 of 6
19 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 1 Betis B
15 Aug
CD Extremadura
2 : 1 Recreativo Huelva
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
12 Apr
CD Extremadura
2 : 1 Recreativo Huelva
29 Mar
CD Extremadura
1 : 0 Deportiva Minera
Page 1 of 4
La Union (Malacitano)
(Away) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
21 Mar
Xerez CD
2 : 1 La Union (Malacitano)
11 Mar
Linares
0 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
