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CD Extremadura vs Lorca Deportiva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Manchon M.
46' Event
Manchon M.
49' Event
Diaz D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between CD Extremadura and Lorca Deportiva finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Extremadura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
CD Extremadura
20%
Draws
36%
Lorca Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Extremadura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • CD Extremadura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 68%
Lorca Deportiva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Extremadura Lorca Deportiva
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Extremadura vs Lorca Deportiva
3:0
Oct 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Lorca Deportiva vs CD Extremadura
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Extremadura Compare

Top Goalscorer Manchon M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lorca Deportiva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Extremadura 41 / 100
Lorca Deportiva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Extremadura Lorca Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Extremadura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Extremadura found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Lorca Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

CD Extremadura has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Extremadura VS Lorca Deportiva
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Extremadura

(Home)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

Lorca Deportiva

(Away)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
27 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 0
Castellonense
20 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
0 : 0
CF Intercity
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)