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CD Fortuna vs Atletico Pinto

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between CD Fortuna and Atletico Pinto finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Pinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Fortuna
15%
Draws
59%
Atletico Pinto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Pinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Fortuna haven't matched Atletico Pinto's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Pinto taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Fortuna Atletico Pinto
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Atletico Pinto
1:2
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs CD Fortuna
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Fortuna 24 / 100
Atletico Pinto 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Fortuna Atletico Pinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Pinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Pinto conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CD Fortuna scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: CD Fortuna stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Pinto
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Fortuna

(Home)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
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Atletico Pinto

(Away)
28 Aug
AD Alcala
1 : 2
Atletico Pinto
20 Jun
AD Alcala
0 : 0
Atletico Pinto
16 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
1 : 3
Atletico Pinto
13 Jun
Atletico Pinto
1 : 2
RSD Alcala
02 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 1
Atletico Pinto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)