Sport Picks
CD Fortuna vs CD Mostoles
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than CD Fortuna.
- Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Fortuna | CD Mostoles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.47 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs CD Mostoles
1:1
Oct 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CD Fortuna
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Fortuna 10 / 100
CD Mostoles 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Fortuna CD Mostoles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Mostoles conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
CD Fortuna scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
CD Fortuna has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Mostoles
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Fortuna
(Home) 05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0 CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2 AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4 Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0 Trival Valderas
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2 AD Colmenar
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4 Navalcarnero
15 Apr
CD Fortuna
0 : 1 DUX Internacional de Madrid
01 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 2 Puerta Bonita
Page 1 of 3
CD Mostoles
(Away) 27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1 CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1 CD Mostoles
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0 CD Mostoles
12 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 0 CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Fuenlabrada | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 60:33 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Madrid C | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Puerta Bonita | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 42:32 | 66 |
| 4 | Parla | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 60:39 | 64 |
| 5 | AD Colmenar | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 59:42 | 62 |
| 6 | DUX Internacional de Madrid | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 46:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Carabanchel | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 40:32 | 60 |
| 8 | Mexico | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 52:43 | 56 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 47:41 | 55 |
| 10 | Colonia Moscardo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 42:31 | 53 |
| 11 | Rayo Majadahonda | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:38 | 52 |
| 12 | Union Adarve | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 32:34 | 52 |
| 13 | Atl. Madrid C | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49:52 | 48 |
| 14 | Villaviciosa de Odon | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 34:48 | 47 |
| 15 | Trival Valderas | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 50:52 | 46 |
| 16 | Atletico Pinto | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 42:53 | 45 |
| 17 | CD Mostoles | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 38:60 | 39 |
| 18 | Navalcarnero | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 41:64 | 34 |
| 19 | Vicalvaro | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 28:69 | 29 |
| 20 | CD Fortuna | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 17:60 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
