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CD Fortuna vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Navalcarnero in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Navalcarnero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Fortuna
15%
Draws
65%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Navalcarnero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Navalcarnero lately — more wins on the board than CD Fortuna.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Navalcarnero taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 19%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Fortuna Navalcarnero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Navalcarnero
1:4
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Navalcarnero vs CD Fortuna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Fortuna 10 / 100
Navalcarnero 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Fortuna Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navalcarnero let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Fortuna's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Fortuna stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Navalcarnero
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Fortuna

(Home)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Navalcarnero

(Away)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)