Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Gares vs Bidezarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Orbegozo I.
44' Event
Aranda I.
69' Event
Arraiza O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between CD Gares and Bidezarra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Gares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
CD Gares
35%
Draws
52%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Bidezarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bidezarra's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 20%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares Bidezarra
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.73 1
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Bidezarra
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs CD Gares
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Orbegozo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aranda I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Bidezarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 12 / 100
Bidezarra 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bidezarra has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Gares scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Gares has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bidezarra
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
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Bidezarra

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Pamplona
3 : 1
Bidezarra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)