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CD Gares vs Pamplona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Frances F.
59' Event
Nagore A.
73' Event
Zapata J.

AI Match Summary

Pamplona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pamplona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Gares
35%
Draws
49%
Pamplona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pamplona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pamplona lately — more wins on the board than CD Gares.
  • Model gives Pamplona a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pamplona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 15%
Pamplona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares Pamplona
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 0.73 2
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Pamplona
1:4
Oct 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs CD Gares
3:1
Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Pamplona
0:2
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pamplona vs CD Gares
1:1
Jan 20, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Pamplona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Orbegozo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Pamplona Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frances F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 10 / 100
Pamplona 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares Pamplona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamplona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Pamplona conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

CD Gares found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: CD Gares stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pamplona
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
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Pamplona

(Away)
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
14 Jun
Real Murcia B
2 : 1
Pamplona
06 Jun
Pamplona
5 : 1
Izarra
30 May
Izarra
1 : 1
Pamplona
23 May
Pamplona
1 : 1
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)