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CD Gerena vs CD Alcala

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
CD Gerena Logo

CD Gerena

0 - 1
FT
CD Alcala Logo

CD Alcala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Gerena and CD Alcala finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alcala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
CD Gerena
15%
Draws
57%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • CD Gerena haven't matched CD Alcala's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gerena CD Alcala
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.23 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CD Alcala
0:1
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Gerena
1:0
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CD Alcala
1:1
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Gerena
1:1
Jan 7, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Gerena
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gerena 31 / 100
CD Alcala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gerena CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Gerena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Gerena found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CD Alcala lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gerena

(Home)
14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1
CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1
CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1
Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1
CD Gerena
Page 1 of 6

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)