Sport Picks
CD Gerena vs CMD San Juan
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015 game between CD Gerena and CMD San Juan finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CMD San Juan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- CMD San Juan haven't matched CD Gerena's recent run of results.
- Model gives CMD San Juan a 68% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and CD Gerena have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Gerena Clean Sheet 18%
CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Gerena | CMD San Juan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CMD San Juan
2:1
Nov 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs CD Gerena
0:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CMD San Juan
1:1
Dec 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CMD San Juan vs CD Gerena
0:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Gerena vs CMD San Juan
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Gerena 23 / 100
CMD San Juan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Gerena CMD San Juan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CMD San Juan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CMD San Juan conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
CD Gerena scored in 74% of their last 35 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
CD Gerena went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Gerena VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Gerena
(Home) 14 May
Coria C.F.
4 : 1 CD Gerena
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1 CD Alcala
28 Apr
Los Barrios
2 : 1 CD Gerena
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1 Castilleja CF
08 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
3 : 1 CD Gerena
Page 1 of 7
07 May
CD Gerena
0 : 1 CD Alcala
23 Apr
CD Gerena
4 : 1 Castilleja CF
02 Apr
CD Gerena
3 : 1 Arcos CF
19 Mar
CD Gerena
2 : 0 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
05 Mar
CD Gerena
0 : 1 Lebrijana
Page 1 of 4
CMD San Juan
(Away) 15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
08 May
CMD San Juan
3 : 2 Los Barrios
01 May
Conil
1 : 2 CMD San Juan
24 Apr
CMD San Juan
3 : 0 San Roque de Cadiz
10 Apr
CMD San Juan
2 : 0 AD Ceuta
Page 1 of 7
15 May
Lebrijana
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
01 May
Conil
1 : 2 CMD San Juan
03 Apr
Cordoba B
2 : 0 CMD San Juan
24 Mar
CD Gerena
2 : 1 CMD San Juan
13 Mar
Sanluqueno
3 : 0 CMD San Juan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeciras | 42 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 77:28 | 100 |
| 2 | CD San Fernando | 42 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 88:28 | 91 |
| 3 | CD Gerena | 42 | 28 | 3 | 11 | 89:38 | 87 |
| 4 | Sanluqueno | 42 | 26 | 5 | 11 | 74:40 | 83 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 50:32 | 72 |
| 6 | Lebrijana | 42 | 18 | 6 | 18 | 60:66 | 60 |
| 7 | Conil | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 51:60 | 60 |
| 8 | Sevilla C | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 42:45 | 58 |
| 9 | Ecija | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 49:41 | 58 |
| 10 | CD Alcala | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 40:52 | 57 |
| 11 | Coria C.F. | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 48:42 | 57 |
| 12 | San Roque de Cadiz | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 47:49 | 56 |
| 13 | CMD San Juan | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 48:49 | 52 |
| 14 | Los Barrios | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 45:50 | 52 |
| 15 | CD Guadalcacin | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 39:48 | 52 |
| 16 | Cabecense | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 36:54 | 49 |
| 17 | Arcos CF | 42 | 14 | 6 | 22 | 46:74 | 48 |
| 18 | Mairena | 42 | 11 | 11 | 20 | 42:55 | 44 |
| 19 | PD Rociera | 42 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 40:73 | 40 |
| 20 | Cadiz B | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 45:54 | 38 |
| 21 | La Palma CF | 42 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 35:69 | 36 |
| 22 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 42 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 34:78 | 33 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
