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CD Gouveia vs Beira Mar

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Figueiredo R.
35' Event
Marcelinho
70' Event
Silva D.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between CD Gouveia and Beira Mar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beira Mar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CD Gouveia
20%
Draws
50%
Beira Mar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beira Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Beira Mar come out ahead of CD Gouveia on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 13%
Beira Mar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia Beira Mar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Beira Mar
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Beira Mar vs CD Gouveia
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Taça de Portugal
CD Gouveia vs Beira Mar
4:2
Sep 4, 2016 Taça de Portugal
CD Gouveia vs Beira Mar
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueiredo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Beira Mar Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 35 / 100
Beira Mar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia Beira Mar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beira Mar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Beira Mar has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

CD Gouveia's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Gouveia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS Beira Mar
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gouveia

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
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Beira Mar

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
Beira Mar
1 : 1
Castro Daire
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
28 Aug
Beira Mar
4 : 3
Uniao Lamas
23 Aug
Beira Mar
0 : 2
Machico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)