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CD Gouveia vs FC Alpendorada

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carvalho P.
29' Event
Fabio Rodrigo
63' Event
Ismael

AI Match Summary

FC Alpendorada in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Alpendorada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CD Gouveia
11%
Draws
80%
FC Alpendorada
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Alpendorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Alpendorada have won more games recently than CD Gouveia.
  • Win probability leans FC Alpendorada's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 13%
FC Alpendorada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia FC Alpendorada
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 11
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Alpendorada vs CD Gouveia
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs FC Alpendorada
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Alpendorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabio Rodrigo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 11 / 100
FC Alpendorada 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia FC Alpendorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Alpendorada let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Gouveia scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

CD Gouveia has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS FC Alpendorada
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rebordosa26177241:1758
2Leca26149350:2351
3Cinfaes261010633:2140
4Beira Mar26108830:2238
5FC Alpendorada26911630:2238
6Florgrade26910728:2837
7Vila Mea26713629:2834
8Uniao Lamas26961127:3333
9SC Salgueiros26711820:1932
10Anadia26791027:3330
11Aparecida26941336:5128
12GD Resende266101027:3128
13SC Vila Real26512923:3027
14CD Gouveia26142114:577