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CD Gouveia vs GD Fontinhas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Pinto L.
58' Event
Davi Soeiro
62' Event
Ibarra C.

AI Match Summary

CD Gouveia in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Gouveia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CD Gouveia
20%
Draws
58%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GD Fontinhas lately — more wins on the board than CD Gouveia.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on GD Fontinhas taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 16%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 0.84 1
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
CD Gouveia vs GD Fontinhas
3:1
Oct 1, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs CD Gouveia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarra C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Davi Soeiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

GD Fontinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 23 / 100
GD Fontinhas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia GD Fontinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Fontinhas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Fontinhas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Gouveia scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

CD Gouveia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gouveia

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 7

GD Fontinhas

(Away)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)