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CD Gouveia vs Vila Mea

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
CD Gouveia Logo

CD Gouveia

3 - 2
FT
Vila Mea Logo

Vila Mea

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sena Miguel
67' Event
Carvalho J. O.
71' Event
Figueiredo R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between CD Gouveia and Vila Mea finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Gouveia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Gouveia
15%
Draws
59%
Vila Mea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vila Mea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vila Mea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vila Mea a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Gouveia Clean Sheet 16%
Vila Mea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gouveia Vila Mea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
CD Gouveia vs Vila Mea
3:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vila Mea vs CD Gouveia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gouveia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sena Miguel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Figueiredo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vila Mea Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho J. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martins D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gouveia 11 / 100
Vila Mea 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gouveia Vila Mea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vila Mea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Vila Mea has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Gouveia scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: CD Gouveia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Gouveia VS Vila Mea
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gouveia

(Home)
18 Apr
CD Gouveia
1 : 2
Beira Mar
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1
CD Gouveia
04 Apr
CD Gouveia
3 : 2
Vila Mea
22 Mar
CD Gouveia
0 : 2
Uniao Lamas
15 Mar
FC Alpendorada
1 : 0
CD Gouveia
Page 1 of 6

Vila Mea

(Away)
13 Sept
Vila Mea
4 : 0
Vinhais
06 Sept
Rebordosa
1 : 0
Vila Mea
30 Aug
Maia Lidador
1 : 0
Vila Mea
23 Aug
Vila Mea
1 : 1
AD Limianos
16 Aug
Ponte da Barca
1 : 2
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)