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Stadium Background

CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Isla C.
82' Event
Garcia A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between CD Laguna (Valladolid) and Arandina finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
15%
Draws
85%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arandina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Arandina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Arandina taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
CD Laguna (Valladolid) Clean Sheet 22%
Arandina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Laguna (Valladolid) Arandina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Laguna (Valladolid) vs Arandina
1:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs CD Laguna (Valladolid)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Laguna (Valladolid) Compare

Top Goalscorer Isla C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laguna (Valladolid) 10 / 100
Arandina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Laguna (Valladolid) Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arandina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arandina let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Laguna (Valladolid)'s goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Arandina lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arandina
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Laguna (Valladolid)

(Home)
10 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 3
Leonesa B
04 May
Palencia CA
4 : 1
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
01 May
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
1 : 4
Mirandes B
26 Apr
Mansilles
5 : 0
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
20 Apr
CD Laguna (Valladolid)
0 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
10 May
Becerril
2 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)