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CD Laredo vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Larrea J.
76' Event
Rodriguez E.
81' Event
Prieto J. M.

AI Match Summary

CD Laredo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Laredo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
CD Laredo
20%
Draws
36%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Laredo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Laredo have won more games recently than Castro.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 20%
Castro Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Laredo Castro
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs Castro
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Laredo
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CD Laredo
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs Castro
0:2
Aug 4, 2021 Club Friendly
CD Laredo vs Castro
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prieto J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrea J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laredo 32 / 100
Castro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Laredo Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Laredo scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Laredo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Laredo VS Castro
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Laredo

(Home)
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
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Castro

(Away)
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)