Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Laredo

2 - 1

Castro

Our Tip

Match Events

Larrea J.

76'

Rodriguez E.

81'

Prieto J. M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Laredo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Laredo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

CD Laredo

Draws

Castro

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Laredo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CD Laredo have won more games recently than Castro.
90% — that's where the model lands on CD Laredo taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

CD Laredo Clean Sheet 68%

Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Laredo	Castro
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	19	10
Draws	10	6
Losses	3	16
Goals Scored	2	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Laredo vs Castro

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Laredo

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Castro vs CD Laredo

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

CD Laredo vs Castro

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Aug 4, 2021 Club Friendly

CD Laredo vs Castro

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Prieto J. M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Castro Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrea J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Laredo 95 / 100

Castro 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Laredo Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Laredo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

CD Laredo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Laredo VS Castro

2 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19