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CD Las Rozas vs Canillas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Flores D.
23' Event
Flores D.
52' Event
Redondo C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 game between CD Las Rozas and Canillas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Las Rozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Las Rozas
20%
Draws
0%
Canillas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Canillas haven't matched CD Las Rozas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Las Rozas a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 17%
Canillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Las Rozas Canillas
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Canillas
3:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs CD Las Rozas
1:3
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Canillas
5:1
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Canillas vs CD Las Rozas
1:1
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Canillas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Flores D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Canillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acosta T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Las Rozas 84 / 100
Canillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Las Rozas Canillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canillas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Canillas lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Las Rozas's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Las Rozas VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Las Rozas

(Home)
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
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Canillas

(Away)
11 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Canillas
04 May
Canillas
2 : 5
RSD Alcala
27 Apr
Rayo Vallecano B
3 : 2
Canillas
17 Apr
Canillas
0 : 3
Leganes B
12 Apr
Tres Cantos
3 : 0
Canillas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)