Sport Picks
Match Events
38'
38'
Pozas I.
47'
47'
Moreno A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Las Rozas have won more games recently than Galapagar.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Galapagar taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Las Rozas | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:3
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Las Rozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Pozas I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Galapagar Compare
Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Las Rozas 18 / 100
Galapagar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Las Rozas Galapagar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Las Rozas scored in 82% of their last 33 games.
Defensive concern: Galapagar conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
CD Las Rozas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
CD Las Rozas VS Galapagar
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Las Rozas
(Home) 13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3 CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1 Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1 Trival Valderas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
CD Las Rozas
0 : 2 Union Adarve
Page 1 of 4
Galapagar
(Away) 12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5 Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1 Galapagar
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
03 May
Parla
0 : 5 Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1 Galapagar
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1 Galapagar
28 Mar
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 3 Galapagar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
