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CD Las Rozas vs Union Adarve

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kostynyan A.
82' Event
Sanchez I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between CD Las Rozas and Union Adarve finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Adarve.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Las Rozas
35%
Draws
28%
Union Adarve
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • CD Las Rozas have managed 1.47 goals a game lately — Union Adarve are scoring more at 1.48.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on CD Las Rozas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 15%
Union Adarve Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Las Rozas Union Adarve
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Union Adarve
0:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Union Adarve vs CD Las Rozas
1:0
Aug 20, 2022 Club Friendly
Union Adarve vs CD Las Rozas
3:3
Aug 14, 2019 Club Friendly
CD Las Rozas vs Union Adarve
1:1
Mar 23, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Union Adarve
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Las Rozas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Adarve Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostynyan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Las Rozas 48 / 100
Union Adarve 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Las Rozas Union Adarve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Las Rozas found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Union Adarve conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CD Las Rozas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Las Rozas VS Union Adarve
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Las Rozas

(Home)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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Union Adarve

(Away)
27 Sept
Union Adarve
2 : 2
CF Fuenlabrada
19 Sept
Mexico
1 : 1
Union Adarve
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes B
0 : 2
Union Adarve
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)