Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Llosa play UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Llosa averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, CD Llosa won 0, UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2012 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for CD Llosa and 1.13 for UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo. This points to a UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

CD Llosa

31%

Draws

36%

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

CD Llosa picked up more points recently compared to UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

CD Llosa Clean Sheet 21%

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Llosa	UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	5	4
Draws	11	9
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	0.76	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

CD Llosa vs UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo vs CD Llosa

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Llosa 34 / 100

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Llosa UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Llosa attacking → ← attacking UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Llosa scored in 56% of their last 34 games.

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

CD Llosa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 21

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Catarroja CF	42	27	11	4	78:34	92
2	Levante B	42	28	8	6	74:32	92
3	Muro	42	25	6	11	83:56	81
4	Alzira	42	22	13	7	62:33	79
5	Acero	42	24	6	12	70:42	78
6	La Nucia	42	23	9	10	71:41	78
7	Torrevieja	42	21	11	10	64:36	74
8	Novelda CF	42	21	9	12	57:50	72
9	Castellon	42	20	9	13	47:40	69
10	Jove	42	18	8	16	67:53	62
11	Villarreal C	42	18	8	16	82:59	62
12	Borriol	42	16	11	15	72:67	59
13	Atletico Saguntino	42	14	10	18	47:50	52
14	Eldense	42	14	8	20	54:64	50
15	Ribarroja	42	14	7	21	47:50	49
16	Crevillente	42	12	11	19	48:66	47
17	CD Llosa	42	11	12	19	55:67	45
18	SC Requena	42	12	7	23	57:72	43
19	Alicante	42	7	8	27	37:91	29
20	Mislata	42	7	6	29	45:92	27
21	UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo	42	5	12	25	35:78	27
22	UD Altea	42	5	6	31	29:108	21