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CD Lourdes vs CD Aluvion

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 game between CD Lourdes and CD Aluvion finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Lourdes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CD Lourdes
15%
Draws
21%
CD Aluvion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Lourdes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Lourdes come out ahead of CD Aluvion on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on CD Lourdes taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Lourdes Clean Sheet 20%
CD Aluvion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Lourdes CD Aluvion
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 2
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs CD Lourdes
0:0
Oct 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs CD Aluvion
1:3
Jan 22, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs CD Aluvion
3:1
Sep 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Aluvion vs CD Lourdes
3:0
Feb 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs CD Aluvion
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Lourdes 85 / 100
CD Aluvion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Lourdes CD Aluvion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Lourdes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Aluvion conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

CD Lourdes's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Aluvion registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Lourdes VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Lourdes

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Lourdes
1 : 3
CD Sant Jordi
27 Sept
CD Sant Jordi
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
26 Jun
CD Lourdes
4 : 1
Txantrea
19 Jun
Subiza
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
Page 1 of 7

CD Aluvion

(Away)
12 May
Mutilvera
2 : 0
CD Aluvion
06 May
CD Aluvion
1 : 3
Cirbonero
27 Apr
Aoiz
3 : 1
CD Aluvion
22 Apr
CD Aluvion
0 : 6
Tudelano
14 Apr
Cortes
1 : 1
CD Aluvion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tudelano 38 28 6 4 87:24 90
2 Izarra 38 25 8 5 78:24 83
3 Valle Egues 38 19 9 10 57:46 66
4 Mutilvera 38 19 9 10 60:34 66
5 Txantrea 38 18 11 9 58:35 65
6 Iruna 38 16 13 9 52:36 61
7 AD San Juan 38 12 20 6 38:30 56
8 Cirbonero 38 15 8 15 51:46 53
9 CD Lourdes 38 15 8 15 52:56 53
10 Oberena 38 14 10 14 42:39 52
11 Pamplona 38 12 13 13 51:51 49
12 Murchante 38 11 12 15 48:57 45
13 Huarte 38 10 14 14 45:50 44
14 Aoiz 38 10 12 16 37:49 42
15 CD Aluvion 38 9 14 15 34:44 41
16 Idoya 38 10 11 17 51:78 41
17 CD Ardoi 38 9 11 18 29:57 38
18 Lagun Artea 38 10 7 21 40:79 37
19 CD River Ega 38 7 6 25 26:73 27
20 Pena Azagresa 38 5 10 23 34:62 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)